International Trade
Meeting #9
October 27, 2025
2.0 hours
194 interventions
Studies Discussed:
Quick Summary
The debate focused on the critical urgency of the upcoming CUSMA review, highlighting the devastating impact of current U.S. tariffs—reaching 45% on softwood lumber—on Canadian manufacturers and small businesses. Witnesses from key sectors stressed that trade uncertainty is halting investment and demanded immediate government action to resolve tariffs, fix administrative barriers like the CARM system, and foster domestic competitiveness.
Productivity Assessment
Rating:
Reasoning: The session was highly substantive, gathering detailed, urgent testimony and concrete recommendations from diverse industry sectors regarding the CUSMA review and specific trade irritants (tariffs, CARM). Although no legislation was advanced, the information collected is essential for informing Canada's trade negotiation strategy.
Citizen Impact: The testimony quantified the immediate negative impact of trade uncertainty, citing 60,000 manufacturing jobs lost and noting that the crisis in softwood lumber will lead to job losses and community instability in rural Canada if not addressed quickly.
Key Points
- The Softwood Lumber Industry is in crisis due to U.S. tariffs escalating to 45%, forcing exporters to operate at a loss, leading to Canadian market saturation, falling prices, and impending mill closures, particularly in Quebec's rural regions.
- Canadian manufacturers and SMEs view resolving trade uncertainty and obtaining relief from tariffs (especially Section 232) as urgent, as investment is stalled, compounding Canada's long-term productivity problems.
- The rollout of the CBSA Assessment and Revenue Management (CARM) system is problematic for SMEs, cited as difficult to navigate, costly, and has been identified by the U.S. as a bilateral trade irritant.
- The removal of the U.S. de minimis duties exemption is severely hurting Canadian-based direct selling companies and micro-entrepreneurs (84% female), complicating low-value cross-border e-commerce shipments and forcing businesses to change strategies or exit the U.S. market.
- Industry associations urge Canada and the U.S. to align on a shared strategy to protect the North American market from unfair trading practices and subsidized goods dumped by non-market economies, specifically mentioning China.
Topics Discussed
CUSMA 2026 Review and Trade Uncertainty
Discussing the urgency and necessity of CUSMA renewal for maintaining continental manufacturing supply chains and the negative impact of current U.S. trade actions (tariffs) on Canadian business investment.
Time / Prominence: High prominence
Softwood Lumber Tariffs and Industry Crisis
Detailed discussion on the 45% anti-dumping and countervailing duties imposed by the U.S., the financial strain on Canadian exporters, and calls for government intervention and promotion of domestic wood use.
Time / Prominence: High prominence
SME Barriers (CARM, De Minimis, Support)
Examination of operational barriers for small businesses, including issues with the CBSA's CARM system, the impact of the lost U.S. de minimis exemption, and the inadequacy of current federal support programs for smaller firms.
Time / Prominence: Moderate prominence
Domestic Competitiveness and Diversification Strategy
Analysis of the need to strengthen Canadian domestic policy (cutting red tape, reducing regulatory burden, addressing interprovincial barriers, energy costs) to support trade diversification and mitigate U.S. volatility.
Time / Prominence: Moderate prominence
In-depth Analysis
The committee heard from major industry advocates regarding the deep instability caused by American protectionism and the impending CUSMA 2026 review. The Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters (CME) emphasized that 96% of members support renewing CUSMA, but current unjustified Section 232 tariffs are forcing manufacturers to postpone long-term investments, threatening productivity. The most emotional testimony came from the softwood lumber sector, where 45% tariffs are being paid directly by Canadian exporters, leading to significant financial losses, market saturation, and imminent mill closures in rural areas. The Canadian Federation of Independent Business (CFIB) detailed the disproportionate impact on SMEs from Canadian counter-tariffs and the flawed rollout of the CBSA's CARM system, which is now a major trade irritant. All witnesses agreed that while diversification away from the U.S. is necessary, it is not a complete solution, necessitating simultaneous efforts to reduce domestic costs (red tape, interprovincial barriers) and streamline regulatory processes (like natural health product approvals) to boost Canadian competitiveness.
Partisan Dynamics
The opposition (CPC and BQ) aggressively pressed the government representatives on the lack of urgency, the failure to secure tariff relief, and the inadequate support provided to affected sectors, particularly forestry and SMEs. Liberal MPs sought to highlight government efforts toward diversification (CETA, TCOs) and domestic investment (Build Canada Homes). A consensus existed among all parties and witnesses regarding the massive negative impact of U.S. trade unpredictability and the need to remove internal Canadian trade barriers.
Votes and Outcomes
No formal votes or outcomes recorded for this session.
Citizen Relevance
Who is Affected: Manufacturers, forestry workers and their rural communities (especially Quebec), small business owners, importers, exporters, and the approximately one million micro-entrepreneurs (many women) involved in direct selling and cross-border e-commerce.
Practical Implications: Continued job losses in manufacturing and forestry; increased costs for imported goods due to tariffs and complex customs systems (CARM); reduced investment in Canadian facilities; and higher costs for housing construction materials.
Timeline: Immediate impact, as mill closures are predicted for November and December 2025; long-term implications hinge on the CUSMA review process beginning in 2026.
Next Steps
The government is expected to continue bilateral discussions to secure relief from U.S. sectoral tariffs (Section 232) and prepare for the formal CUSMA 2026 review. Industry groups will push for immediate domestic support measures (loans, subsidies) for the forestry sector and reforms to the CARM system and tariff remission processes.
Notable Moments
- CFIB confirmed that the CBSA's new CARM system is widely seen as a trade irritant, burdensome for SMEs, and has led to importers having thousands of dollars in security surplus that they cannot easily retrieve. (Impact: This provides concrete evidence that a domestic administrative program (CARM) is actively harming Canadian trade and is being used as leverage by the U.S. in broader trade discussions.)